More COVID-19 in Orange County

Our work site is up to 102 cases of COVID-19, though that’s technically in Los Angeles County. In Orange County, it does seem the number of new cases is going down since Governor Newsome re instituted the stay-at-home order. Again, there seems to be some discrepancies depending on where you look:

From: Google/New York Times
From: Orange County Health Care Agency

Again, it’s weird that the total numbers tie but the daily data in the charts are totally different. Both definitely shows a downward trend after the peak in early July.

Since there are differences and I’m not sure what are the criteria for reporting a positive case, we can look at hospitalization data. This is from the OC Health Care Agency:

Total hospitalization numbers include ICU patients

Assuming the hospitalization rate is fairly constant for the population, then this is probably better data to look at since it’s reported by hospitals and includes only those with serious symptoms. Again, there seems to be a huge increase mid-June after California relaxed restrictions at the end of May, and a decrease recently. Hopefully, people will be patient this time (Orange County Supervisors and school openings) and not rush out again causing another spike in cases, hospitalizations, and deaths.

I’ve already visited the DMV so anyplace else seems less risky in comparison.

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