Orange County Vaccination Update

I heard on the news that Disneyland is going to be used as a vaccination site. Also, the vaccination criteria has been updated to include medical workers and people aged 65+. There is a detailed list at this website. We’re still in Phase iA.

Phase 1A
Healthcare workers
Individual 65 and over
Emergency services
Phase 1B/Tier 1
Food and agriculture
Education and childcare
Phase 1B/Tier 2
Individuals 65-74 years of age
Incarcerated
Homeless
Essential business employees
Phase 1C/Tier 1
Individuals 50-64 years of age
16-49 years and have underlying health conditions
Utility and government workers
Phase 2 (?)
Everybody else

I’m sure it’s a difficult task trying to coordinate the vaccination of millions of people who all want to go first. I think medical workers should go first, including nursing home patients. Then going by age tranches makes sense since the mortality rate correlates with age. This is data from Orange County:

Makes sense, no? However, there are studies that show the mortality rate for dialysis patients who are infected with COVID-19 are as high at 20%, though that number seems to be dropping over time. It would be interesting to see more detailed analysis on those death cases by age. If the distribution is similar, then the current vaccination plan is probably fine. If the high death rate is more correlated to dialysis, then they should probably move the entire group up in priority. Since I’m in the 50-64 group, I’m in Tier 1C either way.

Also, why the strange naming convention? Why have so many Phase 1 subdivisions? It it to make it look like everyone is priority #1? Why not just go down the groups sequentially, as in Group 1, 2, 3, etc?

Leave a comment