Next COVID Spike?

Here is the latest cases chart from occovid.com for Orange County:

The chart only shows eight months of data, but it has the recent delta spike. From the chart, the number of new cases is steady at ~20 per 100k people per day. That does not seem like a lot, but Orange County has 3.2 million people so this represents about 640 cases per day. If we look at the entire country, there are still ~1,000 people dying of COVID daily.

I went to Panini Kabob Grill in Santa Ana to pick up dinner last night. There was a line of people outside waiting for tables, and it was mostly full inside the restaurant. Other than me and the staff, no one had a mask on, even though multiple parties were standing right next to each other in line. Do people think we are back to normal now?

Looking at the numbers from last year, I am expecting another spike for Thanksgiving/Christmas/New Year’s Day. It probably will not be as bad since the vaccine was not available last year, but 1/3 of the population are still not vaccinated. I guess we will wait and sew what happens. If the case rate remains flat, then I would feel a lot better about going back to work in-person.

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